Mastermind
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Many are concerned with increasing prices of goods and services.
There is a way to completely insulate yourself from price swings.
Be it in fuel, real estate, food, electricity, etc.
The practice is called hedging.
https://www.investopedia.com/articles/optioninvestor/07/hedging-intro.asp
Lets say that a farming business buys oil and sells wheat.
Recent price swings makes them hesitant to order seeds, knowing that they could lose money if the price of oil jumps or the price of wheat tanks.
Wouldn't it be nice to have a way of guaranteeing profits before they start planting anything?
There is a way. It's called futures.
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/f/futures.asp
Simply put, futures are contracts for the exchange of goods at a certain price at a future date.
The problem for you is that futures are now only for the big players. Contracts are too big for small players to participate.
However there is a solution. It's ETFs, Exchange Traded Funds. The exchange will play as intermediary and will pool lots of ETFs into single big contracts. 100 farmers can sell their wheat ETFs and the exchange will sell a single future contract combining them all. These ETF contracts are small enough so that anyone can play.
So how does the farmer guarantee a profit? By buying (going long) oil ETFs and selling (going short) wheat ETFs.
If the price of oil jumps, the farmer will pay more at the pump. However, the price of the ETF he bought will also jump. He can sell the ETF at this higher price and get back the money he lost at the pump.
For wheat he does the inverse. He opens a short position on wheat for the amount he plans to sell. If the price of wheat decreases, he will lose when he sells it. However, the price of the short ETF will have increased in price, negating the price swing in wheat.
So what do you do?
Make a list of the things that you'll need to buy and that you'll need to sell.
Do you need fuel? Do you need to eat? Do you need to pay rent? Do you need electricity? Do you need currency? Calculate how much you'll need over the next 1 or 2 years. This length of time is on you to decide.
Then go on an exchange and buy what you need, right now. Some exchanges even offer to leverage your money for a fee. With $1k they let you buy $5k of stuff for example.
You can buy all of the above things in advance. If the price increases, you pay more for them but your ETFs also get more expensive. If the price decreases, you pay less but you also lose on the ETFs.
This way you can completely insulate yourself from future price swings.
However there are lots of things that you may need but there is no ETF for it. What to do?
You need to find things that are correlated.
Lets say you spend $1k per year on a particular medicine and it'd be catastrophic if the price jumped to $5k. You need to find the historical price of that medicine and then compare it to other financial instruments. Can you find a strong correlation? If yes, you can buy the correlated instrument and be almost certain that if the price of the medicine jumps, the instrument will also jump. For example you could look at the price of the medicine vs the stock price of the company producing it. Usually, higher price of product = higher profits = higher stock prices.
Also, multiple things could be correlated to a single item. Oil is such an example. Higher oil prices will mean higher prices for almost everything. So you may want to buy more oil than you need directly. How much is for you to calculate.
There is a way to completely insulate yourself from price swings.
Be it in fuel, real estate, food, electricity, etc.
The practice is called hedging.
https://www.investopedia.com/articles/optioninvestor/07/hedging-intro.asp
Lets say that a farming business buys oil and sells wheat.
Recent price swings makes them hesitant to order seeds, knowing that they could lose money if the price of oil jumps or the price of wheat tanks.
Wouldn't it be nice to have a way of guaranteeing profits before they start planting anything?
There is a way. It's called futures.
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/f/futures.asp
Simply put, futures are contracts for the exchange of goods at a certain price at a future date.
The problem for you is that futures are now only for the big players. Contracts are too big for small players to participate.
However there is a solution. It's ETFs, Exchange Traded Funds. The exchange will play as intermediary and will pool lots of ETFs into single big contracts. 100 farmers can sell their wheat ETFs and the exchange will sell a single future contract combining them all. These ETF contracts are small enough so that anyone can play.
So how does the farmer guarantee a profit? By buying (going long) oil ETFs and selling (going short) wheat ETFs.
If the price of oil jumps, the farmer will pay more at the pump. However, the price of the ETF he bought will also jump. He can sell the ETF at this higher price and get back the money he lost at the pump.
For wheat he does the inverse. He opens a short position on wheat for the amount he plans to sell. If the price of wheat decreases, he will lose when he sells it. However, the price of the short ETF will have increased in price, negating the price swing in wheat.
So what do you do?
Make a list of the things that you'll need to buy and that you'll need to sell.
Do you need fuel? Do you need to eat? Do you need to pay rent? Do you need electricity? Do you need currency? Calculate how much you'll need over the next 1 or 2 years. This length of time is on you to decide.
Then go on an exchange and buy what you need, right now. Some exchanges even offer to leverage your money for a fee. With $1k they let you buy $5k of stuff for example.
You can buy all of the above things in advance. If the price increases, you pay more for them but your ETFs also get more expensive. If the price decreases, you pay less but you also lose on the ETFs.
This way you can completely insulate yourself from future price swings.
However there are lots of things that you may need but there is no ETF for it. What to do?
You need to find things that are correlated.
Lets say you spend $1k per year on a particular medicine and it'd be catastrophic if the price jumped to $5k. You need to find the historical price of that medicine and then compare it to other financial instruments. Can you find a strong correlation? If yes, you can buy the correlated instrument and be almost certain that if the price of the medicine jumps, the instrument will also jump. For example you could look at the price of the medicine vs the stock price of the company producing it. Usually, higher price of product = higher profits = higher stock prices.
Also, multiple things could be correlated to a single item. Oil is such an example. Higher oil prices will mean higher prices for almost everything. So you may want to buy more oil than you need directly. How much is for you to calculate.